A Conversation for How To Understand Statistics
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Peer Review: A1054117 - How To Understand Statistics
Atlantic_Cable Started conversation Jun 19, 2003
Entry: How To Understand Statistics - A1054117
Author: Atlantic_Cable - U196159
I've already had this in the Writing workshop and would like to thank everyone who helped me with it.
There's got to be an easier way to move etries between review forums, surely?
A1054117 - How To Understand Statistics
McKay The Disorganised Posted Jun 20, 2003
Like it A_C
I think in the work force sickness example you should explain that 40% represents 2 days, and therefore is normal.
I think your little chart showing the mean mode and average of a set of numbers would be clearer if you included a second set of numbers with a really high number in it - say 4, 5, 5, 5, 8, 12, 86.
A1054117 - How To Understand Statistics
Friar Posted Jun 20, 2003
Very nice entry!
Have you considered using the clever George Carlin quotation:
"Think about how stupid teh average person is;
now realise half of them are dumber than that."
I liked the entry a lot. Easy to read, factually sound (in my cursory first glance).
I'll have another look soon.
Friar
A1054117 - How To Understand Statistics
PQ Posted Jun 20, 2003
Ooooh very nice.
There were a couple of crossovers with A852761 (things to consider when reading medical research) so a link might be worthwhile. They were crossovers not duplications though
"Women are better drivers than men
This is not the same thing as saying that all women are better drivers than men"
Should that be "than *all* men" or is that labouring the point?
"Toddler who attend pre-school exhibit agressive behaviour"
Should be either toddlers or attends.
"beccause their behaviour was abnormal."
typo
"the number of injuries due to the head"
Don't think the due should be in there
"However the chart showed that the chewing would have to go on for 30 mins to raise the line above the "danger" line."
Does this mean the eating prior to chewing the gum? Raising the line above the "danger" line sounds like it takes 30 minutes to enter the danger "zone"...might be better to reword it like "chewing would have to go on for 30 mins to take the line *out of* the danger zone".
as a stats bod (or a Management Information Officer) I would prefer it if noone ever read this...I get enough of people picking holes in my data as it is...and no matter how many times I tell them about GIGO it's always my fault
A1054117 - How To Understand Statistics
Ausnahmsweise, wie üblich (Consistently inconsistent) Posted Jun 20, 2003
Hi,
Looks very good.
I think there is an entry here somewhere on Average, Mean, Mode, etc. I'll try to find it (it may not be in the EG yet, but if it is you could link to it).
Steven Wright said "47.3% of all statistics are made up on the spot".
Awu.
A1054117 - How To Understand Statistics
Mikey the Humming Mouse - A3938628 Learn More About the Edited Guide! Posted Jun 20, 2003
There are some terms that are probably worth using here. You kind of glass over their meanings in some way, but you don't use the terms themselves -- Type I Error, Type II Error, Type III Error.
If you're going to be recommending books, the one I would recommend is actually the Cartoon Guide to Statistics, by Larry Gonick -- even for people with absolutely no grasp of mathematics whatsoever, it manages to convey a decent sense of university level introductory statistics.
I think you would also need to go into the problem that many of the statistics people try to present are not actually statistically significant -- i.e., people will go on and on about how 95% of children passed their exams at this school, and 92% of children passed their exams at this school, but the sample sizes aren't actually big enough for the difference to be statistically significant. Many people don't understand how important sample size is to interpreting statistics. You have a little paragraph on this, but I don't think it explains it very well to the average lay person.
Also, in your "no average" section, you seem to imply that distributions are always normal, which we all know isn't the case. It would make our lives easier if they were, but sadly, it's not reality. Clearly, this entry is too basic to go into the statistics of non-normal distributions, but it's worth mentioning that there *are* non-normal distributions, and that the statistics you use for normal distributions are often inappropriate when the distribution is patently non-normal.
Another thing for the deceptive use of statistics is the selective presentation of statistics -- so often a company will collect statistics on hundreds of variables, and perhaps calculate a thousand more from those original hundreds, and then present only the 2 or 3 most positive to the public. Again, this gets back to the issue of "who paid for the study".
Mikey
A1054117 - How To Understand Statistics
xyroth Posted Jun 23, 2003
I suggested this was ready, and I know my statistics, but didn't spot a lot of these errors.
by the way, although you have updated the entry, you have not fixed all the points mentioned.
A1054117 - How To Understand Statistics
The Researcher formally known as Dr St Justin Posted Jun 26, 2003
Just a little thing - in the 'No average' section, can you change the order of the list, so it reads Mean, Median, Mode? Then it will match the order used in the two examples - caught me out the first time I read it through.
A1054117 - How To Understand Statistics
Zarquon's Singing Fish! Posted Jun 26, 2003
I like this entry. Nice and easy to understand.
There are a couple of typos to be fixed - small issues - however;
revelaed that the ealrier records > revealed that the earlier record
fatalies > fatalities
asnwer > answer
There may be more - I wasn't deliberately looking for them.
A1054117 - How To Understand Statistics
Azara Posted Jun 26, 2003
I'm a bit unhappy with the normal/abnormal behaviour descriptions in the bit about the toddlers. 'the children who stayed at home and did not attend pre-school were less aggressive, because their behaviour was abnormal.' This kind of definition of 'normality' is a minefield that I think you should avoid.
A quote you might like for the averages section:
'Most people have more than the average number of legs'
of course it only applies to the mean!
Azara
A1054117 - How To Understand Statistics
xyroth Posted Jun 27, 2003
"of course it only applies to the mean"... which is why you should try and avoud using the term average and use median, mean or mode instead when talking about the specific data involved.
A1054117 - How To Understand Statistics
Perseus Posted Jun 27, 2003
As a relative PR newbie, I'm not too sure of the logisitcs/niceities here, so please bear with me.
I really liked this entry. It is informative and illuminating, without becoming patronising in any way. Nice one AC!
One minor point, in the quotation from the legal case;
"Assuming that the defendant did not commit this crime, what is the probability that the defendant and the culprit having identical fingerprints?"
Should the second "that" perhaps read "of"? I realise this is a quotation, but it doesn't read quite correctly to me.
Slàinte
Perseus
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Spelugx the Beige, Wizard, Perl, Thaumatologically Challenged Posted Jun 27, 2003
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Atlantic_Cable Posted Jun 27, 2003
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Zarquon's Singing Fish! Posted Jun 27, 2003
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Uncle Heavy [sic] Posted Jul 20, 2003
well, i have had a number of stylistic and grammatical points to change. in parts i have clarified the language, and in others i have changed, deleted or added sentences in order to increase clarity. I have also tried to make it more formal and less chatty. i hope thats ok.
Congratulations - Your Entry has been Picked for the Edited Guide!
xyroth Posted Jul 20, 2003
tell us where it is, and we will look and see.
well done AC.
Key: Complain about this post
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Peer Review: A1054117 - How To Understand Statistics
- 1: Atlantic_Cable (Jun 19, 2003)
- 2: McKay The Disorganised (Jun 20, 2003)
- 3: Friar (Jun 20, 2003)
- 4: PQ (Jun 20, 2003)
- 5: Ausnahmsweise, wie üblich (Consistently inconsistent) (Jun 20, 2003)
- 6: Mikey the Humming Mouse - A3938628 Learn More About the Edited Guide! (Jun 20, 2003)
- 7: Atlantic_Cable (Jun 22, 2003)
- 8: xyroth (Jun 23, 2003)
- 9: The Researcher formally known as Dr St Justin (Jun 26, 2003)
- 10: Zarquon's Singing Fish! (Jun 26, 2003)
- 11: Azara (Jun 26, 2003)
- 12: xyroth (Jun 27, 2003)
- 13: Perseus (Jun 27, 2003)
- 14: h2g2 auto-messages (Jun 27, 2003)
- 15: Spelugx the Beige, Wizard, Perl, Thaumatologically Challenged (Jun 27, 2003)
- 16: Atlantic_Cable (Jun 27, 2003)
- 17: J (Jun 27, 2003)
- 18: Zarquon's Singing Fish! (Jun 27, 2003)
- 19: Uncle Heavy [sic] (Jul 20, 2003)
- 20: xyroth (Jul 20, 2003)
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