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Cern runs rings round yah!

Post 541

Prof Animal Chaos.C.E.O..err! C.E.Idiot of H2G2 Fools Guild (Official).... A recipient of S.F.L and S.S.J.A.D.D...plus...S.N.A.F.U.

(I'm at odds)if a long standing theorem by a notable "past" person/s was proven wrong, or even with a "modern" theorem. The time taken in counter arguments/debates/models/formula for and against etc etc. This would not really change the history books ?

I use Pluto as an example - planet/non planet. Only a few have made THAT decision, yet the views of such as mesmiley - winkeyedon't countsmiley - biggrinand I'm a "member" of THIS solar system as well


Cern runs rings round yah!

Post 542

winternights

History books are just that, they are an historical account read by the current generation, they record mankinds previous attempts to reconcilesmiley - doh and give what they thought at that time was a true and factual accountsmiley - thepost, given there current understandingsmiley - huh of there known environment at that time.
The speedsmiley - run of modern developments do now make the thought of history books look quite antiquatedsmiley - laugh but I suppose there has to be a record of mankinds folliessmiley - wah and triumphssmiley - ok , if so only the current generation can learn as to the perils of what the human mind is capable ofsmiley - erm.

As for poor old Pluto , it a simple case of committee determining size.

smiley - smiley


Cern runs rings round yah!

Post 543

paulh, vaccinated against the Omigod Variant

"In the case of claiming most, then of course one cat can't falsify it. But you still need the whole sample, or at least to know how many cats there are!" [Jabberwock]

There is something called the Law of Large Numbers. A person's "proof" of anything is only as good as the amount of data that was available, the more the better. Plus, it makes sense to have a very large time frame if you're trying to predict the occurence of things that are very very rare -- asteroids striking the Earth, for instance.


Cern runs rings round yah!

Post 544

winternights

Its not always possible to know the “whole sample” as in a random field were exists continuously changing values
To be defined as “Rare” is a statement that implies that what ever is been observed is not found in large numbers and so of interest.
The law of large numbers is an expression resulting from probability theory, this deals with random variables, stochastic processes and events, a mathematical abstraction of non deterministic  events or measured quantities that may either be single occurrences or evolve over time in an apparently random fashion as with asteroids hitting the earth.
A “snap shot” could be considered to be a random event, many “snap shots” would allow a prediction, as they will exhibit certain patterns the law of large numbers is a way of expressing this.


Cern runs rings round yah!

Post 545

Jabberwock


OK, folks, a most stimulating discussion.smiley - ok
Just to add that Popper was not universally popular, if you'll forgive the pun. He was regarded as being an oversimplifier. This is from the 'Talking Philosophy' website:

In 1946 Karl Popper addressed the Cambridge Moral Sciences Club on the subject Are There Philosophical Problems? The subsequent discussion, chaired by Russell, is known to have been lively. At one point Wittgenstein, brandishing a poker, is said to have demanded of Popper that he offer an example of a moral rule: “Not to threaten visiting lecturers with pokers”, Popper is said to have replied. At which point Wittgenstein stormed out.


http://blog.talkingphilosophy.com/?p=2630


Cern runs rings round yah!

Post 546

paulh, vaccinated against the Omigod Variant

That last paragraph rings a bell, Jabs.I remember reading about Wittgenstein's raging against a fellow philosopher, but I didn't remember that it was Popper that ignited his wrath.

[I hope that Popper wasn't that guy who ha dpenguins. smiley - tongueout]

[I read or skim vast amounts of stuff, and it is usually impossible to remember where I got what factoids when I think about them later on. This is an occupational hazaed. I'm sure other reference librarians have the same problem....]


Cern runs rings round yah!

Post 547

winternights

Paul, I imagine to be a reference librarian, need a vast amount of , lets say, superlative mental storage, which I know that my brain for one is not capable of as I suffer from dyslexia.
I tend to speed read , that’s to say that my mind looks for key words which in turn makes me stop and read the sentence fully, this way I get a feel for the article
If after a quick scan, the article aliens itself to a pattern of interest that I hold, then I will revisit it later and read the item fully.
This gives me more time to mentally digest its content, hopefully registering it and allowing me to recall it at a later date.


Cern runs rings round yah!

Post 548

paulh, vaccinated against the Omigod Variant

What I have to do is constantly remind myself that the "fact" in my mind was time-sensitive. It may have been regarded as true at the time, but there's no telling what subsequent discoveries have been made about it.


Cern runs rings round yah!

Post 549

Jabberwock


Verb sap.

Paul, that is scientifically correct. But you'll have a better time in your brain if you just accept that things are what they seem and how they appear, until a new theory comes along to falsify what everyone thought.

On a certain level of discourse a chair is a chair, even though on another level of discourse, it's made up of millions of atoms and subatoms whirling about in space.


Cern runs rings round yah!

Post 550

Prof Animal Chaos.C.E.O..err! C.E.Idiot of H2G2 Fools Guild (Official).... A recipient of S.F.L and S.S.J.A.D.D...plus...S.N.A.F.U.

smiley - winkeyeand the debate of it's structural make-upsmiley - biggrinwood/metal/plasticsmiley - winkeye


I can just see Shakespeare smiley - biggrinto be a chair or not to be a chair etcsmiley - biggrin


Cern runs rings round yah!

Post 551

Jabberwock


smiley - laugh


Cern runs rings round yah!

Post 552

Prof Animal Chaos.C.E.O..err! C.E.Idiot of H2G2 Fools Guild (Official).... A recipient of S.F.L and S.S.J.A.D.D...plus...S.N.A.F.U.

smiley - whistle and those immortal words - Queen Anne's legs have got dry rotsmiley - laughsmiley - laugh


Cern runs rings round yah!

Post 553

paulh, vaccinated against the Omigod Variant

I'm pretty sure that Hamlet was never a chiar, but you never know! smiley - winkeye


Cern runs rings round yah!

Post 554

winternights

It’s a good job that Hamlet was not fond of cats or his opening soliloquy would have further perplexed folk on his take on the Copenhagen interpretation  


Cern runs rings round yah!

Post 555

Jabberwock


smiley - smileysmiley - laugh


Cern runs rings round yah!

Post 556

Prof Animal Chaos.C.E.O..err! C.E.Idiot of H2G2 Fools Guild (Official).... A recipient of S.F.L and S.S.J.A.D.D...plus...S.N.A.F.U.

Alas, poor Chippendale! I knew him, Horatio (when he had 4 legssmiley - winkeye)


Cern runs rings round yah!

Post 557

Jabberwock


That's a lot of yoricks, if you ask mesmiley - spacesmiley - biggrin


Cern runs rings round yah!

Post 558

paulh, vaccinated against the Omigod Variant

smiley - tongueout

[Has this thread become the graveyard for tired humor?smiley - winkeye]


Cern runs rings round yah!

Post 559

winternights

Oh I don’t knowsmiley - doh, even the most eminentsmiley - prof and the most respectedsmiley - scientist most have a humours side to them, otherwise their work would send them smiley - silly


Cern runs rings round yah!

Post 560

winternights

smiley - sorryshould be must not mostsmiley - smiley


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