h2g2 The Hitchhiker's Guide to the Galaxy: Earth Edition

AAAAaand now there's a tornado warning.

04FS!


The tornadic thunderstorm is over this corner of Clear Lake. JSC is right on Clear Lake.

Blimey, BG. What a day to go back to JSC I hope the lack of posts since that last one doesn't mean what I hope it doesn't mean. If you see what I mean.

We had a pretty modest storm yesterday around 8.00 or 9.00pm, but San Antonio got hammered. The former Mrs Gosho sent me a picture of a hailstone a friend had picked up which covered almost the entire palm of her hand.

The forecasters have got the high temperature prediction spectacularly wrong these past few days. It was 6° off yesterday, and I think the day before too. Even though we've had temperatures above 90, the daily average has still been below the long term average, though. I like these cooler mornings. It looks like they'll continue throughout the next seven days.

I don't know if you've noticed - we've already had at least three 100° temperatures in the bottom section from 2011 already. Boy, did that summer begin early

Yesterday 85/64 (20% chance of rain) (actual: 91/62, 0.63" rain)
Today 87/65 (30% chance of rain)
Friday 89/68 (10% chance of rain)
Saturday 90/66 (10% chance of rain)
Sunday 91/66 (10% chance of rain)
Monday 90/67 (10% chance of rain)
Tuesday 92/69 (10% chance of rain)
Wednesday 93/69 (10% chance of rain)

Yesterday's departure from the daily average: -2°
Average max/min for this time of the year: 89/69
Record high temperature for today: 100 (2011)
Record low temperature for today: 47 (1901)

One other thing. I believe the hurricane season begins on June 1st? Which is next Monday. And we've already had two named storms.

I stayed a bit late at work yesterday, then donned the foul weather gear, hopped on the bike and the rain cleared.
I did have to ride through about 5 inches of standing water in a construction zone that's obviously buggered the drains (on an evacuation route no less).


I figure they should just do away with the concept of a season for hurricanes ever since 2005, the year that the weather service had to resort to using Greek letters as the season went past Z names and into the following year (31 named storms).

Apparently this is what went over me yesterday, viewed from Galveston Island.

http://www.reddit.com/r/houston/comments/grun30/galveston_storm/?utm_source=share&utm_medium=web2x

Wow, that's a picture

h2g2 was offline yesterday morning and I couldn't do this. I forgot to catch up when I got home last night.

Yesterday 87/65 (30% chance of rain) (actual: 90/63, no rain)
Today 89/68 (10% chance of rain)
Saturday 90/66 (10% chance of rain)
Sunday 91/66 (10% chance of rain)
Monday 90/67 (10% chance of rain)
Tuesday 92/69 (10% chance of rain)
Wednesday 93/69 (10% chance of rain)
Thursday 93/71

Yesterday's departure from the daily average: -2°
Average max/min for this time of the year: 89/70
Record high temperature for today: 99 (1927)
Record low temperature for today: 52 (1947)

Yesterday 89/68 (10% chance of rain) (actual: 89/70)
Today 90/66 (10% chance of rain)
Sunday 85/67 (20% chance of rain)
Monday 86/69 (30% chance of rain)
Tuesday 89/70 (20% chance of rain)
Wednesday 90/70 (20% chance of rain)
Thursday 93/71
Friday 93/71 (10% chance of rain)

Yesterday's departure from the daily average: 0°
Average max/min for this time of the year: 90/70
Record high temperature for today: 101 (2003)
Record low temperature for today: 56 (1992, 1984)

h2g2 was offline again Sunday morning.

Yesterday 90/66 (10% chance of rain) (actual: 89/63, no rain)
Today 85/67 (20% chance of rain)
Monday 86/69 (30% chance of rain)
Tuesday 89/70 (20% chance of rain)
Wednesday 90/70 (20% chance of rain)
Thursday 93/71
Friday 93/71 (10% chance of rain)
Saturday 95/72 (10% chance of rain)

Yesterday's departure from the daily average: -4°
Average max/min for this time of the year: 90/70
Record high temperature for today: 101 (2003)
Record low temperature for today: 56 (1992)

Yesterday 85/67 (20% chance of rain) (actual: 85/74, trace of rain)
Today 86/69 (30% chance of rain)
Tuesday 86/69 (30% chance of rain)
Wednesday 90/70 (20% chance of rain)
Thursday 92/71
Friday 94/71 (10% chance of rain)
Saturday 95/72 (10% chance of rain)
Sunday 96/73 (20% chance of rain)

Yesterday's departure from the daily average: 0°
Average max/min for this time of the year: 90/70
Record high temperature for today: 100 (2008)
Record low temperature for today: 55 (1964, 1931)

Well hello, tropical depression 3. Where are you thinking of heading?
http://twitter.com/AdamKrueger/status/1267564801611517959

Too early to say, but possibly heading in the direction of Louisiana/Alabama/Florida panhandle.

Looking back at last year, we had to wait until July 14th for our first 100° day, which seemed like a blessing, but between then and the last 100° day on September 25th there were only 17 days of double digits, and most of those were mid to upper 90s. The heat index would have been above 100 probably every day, and a few more either side of that.

Yesterday 86/69 (30% chance of rain) (actual: 84/72, no rain)
Today 86/69 (30% chance of rain)
Wednesday 90/70 (10% chance of rain)
Thursday 93/72 (10% chance of rain)
Friday 94/72 (10% chance of rain)
Saturday 95/73 (10% chance of rain)
Sunday 97/75 (10% chance of rain)
Monday 96/74 (20% chance of rain)

Yesterday's departure from the daily average: -2°
Average max/min for this time of the year: 90/70
Record high temperature for today: 101 (2018, 2008)
Record low temperature for today: 55 (1919, 1907)

2 June, 2020 and we're already up to our third named storm, this one in the Gulf.




At 4PM CDT, Tropical Storm Cristobal was located at 19.1 N 92.9 W or 740 miles SSE of JSC, moving S at 3 MPH. Maximum sustained winds were 40 MPH.

TS Cristobal is forecast to make loop around slowly in the far southern Bay of Campeche tonight and tomorrow possibly moving inland over the Yucatan. Should Cristobal survive, steering currents are forecast such that a northerly turn would occur late Thursday night or early Friday morning. The latest NHC forecast track would then take Cristobal northward at a slowly increasing speed with slowly intensifying winds. JSC is currently barely outside the western edge of the 5 day error cone. The most likely time of arrival for tropical storm force winds at JSC would be Sunday morning and likely no earlier than Saturday evening, if at all. There is a larger than normal uncertainty in the forecast location and strength this weekend.

Yup. Here's the latest as of Wednesday afternoon, a few minutes ago.
"The latest on Tropical Storm Cristobal: It is currently located over Mexico but is expected to emerge over the Gulf this weekend and move northward. At this time, impacts should remain to our east, however this solution would lead to potential record-setting heat early next week."
http://twitter.com/NWSSanAntonio/status/1268306446506065922

And look at the temperatures for next Monday and Tuesday

By the way, this was what I wrote exactly a year ago:
"Three days into hurricane season and we already have tropical weather in the forecast. Wednesday's 70% chance is due to a disturbance in the Bay of Campeche that has a 60% chance of becoming a tropical cyclone".

Plus ça change.

Yesterday 86/69 (30% chance of rain) (actual: 90/72, 0.01" rain)
Today 90/70 (10% chance of rain)
Thursday 93/72 (10% chance of rain)
Friday 94/73 (10% chance of rain)
Saturday 95/73 (10% chance of rain)
Sunday 97/75 (10% chance of rain)
Monday 100/75
Tuesday 104/78

Yesterday's departure from the daily average: +1°
Average max/min for this time of the year: 90/71
Record high temperature for today: 100 (2008, 2018)
Record low temperature for today: 52 (1919)

Yesterday 90/70 (10% chance of rain) (actual: 93/73, no rain)
Today 93/72 (10% chance of rain)
Friday 94/73 (10% chance of rain)
Saturday 95/73 (10% chance of rain)
Sunday 97/75 (10% chance of rain)
Monday 100/75
Tuesday 104/78
Wednesday 100/77

Yesterday's departure from the daily average: +3°
Average max/min for this time of the year: 91/71
Record high temperature for today: 99 (2008)
Record low temperature for today: 56 (1903)

Yesterday 93/72 (10% chance of rain) (actual: 94/74, no rain)
Today 94/73 (10% chance of rain)
Saturday 96/73
Sunday 98/74
Monday 100/75
Tuesday 104/77 (10% chance of rain)
Wednesday 99/76
Thursday 98/72

Yesterday's departure from the daily average: +3°
Average max/min for this time of the year: 91/71
Record high temperature for today: 101 (2011)
Record low temperature for today: 55 (1970)

Yesterday 94/73 (10% chance of rain) (actual: 94/76, no rain)
Today 96/73
Sunday 99/74
Monday 101/75
Tuesday 105/77
Wednesday 99/75
Thursday 98/73
Friday 98/73 (10% chance of rain)

Yesterday's departure from the daily average: +4°
Average max/min for this time of the year: 91/71
Record high temperature for today: 103 (2011)
Record low temperature for today: 51 (1926)

Yesterday 96/73 (actual: 96/74)
Today 99/74
Monday 100/76
Tuesday 103/77 (10% chance of rain)
Wednesday 97/75
Thursday 96/69 (10% chance of rain)
Friday 96/69
Saturday 96/70

Yesterday's departure from the daily average: +4°
Average max/min for this time of the year: 91/71
Record high temperature for today: 100 (2008, 2011)
Record low temperature for today: 60 (1926, 1913)

If the temperature reaches the predicted 100° today it'll be one month and two days earlier than the average first 100° temperature in Austin (July 10th). I don't hold it as any kind of portent on this occasion because it's the tropical storm that's causing it, although I still haven't worked out how.

Yesterday 99/74 (actual: 96/76)
Today 100/76
Tuesday 101/77 (10% chance of rain)
Wednesday 94/69 (10% chance of rain)
Thursday 96/68
Friday 96/67
Saturday 97/69
Sunday 97/70

Yesterday's departure from the daily average: +5°
Average max/min for this time of the year: 91/71
Record high temperature for today: 102 (1925)
Record low temperature for today: 60 (1926, 1913)

We fell short of it by one degree yesterday. I think we'll make it today. There was a heat index reading of 108 at Camp Mabry, and 106 at the airport.

Yesterday 100/76 (actual: 99/74)
Today 101/77 (10% chance of rain)
Wednesday 93/66
Thursday 93/64
Friday 94/66
Saturday 96/69
Sunday 96/70
Monday 97/70 (10% chance of rain)

Yesterday's departure from the daily average: +6°
Average max/min for this time of the year: 91/72
Record high temperature for today: 101 (2008, 1948)
Record low temperature for today: 61 (1996, 1926, 1913)