A Conversation for Artificial Intelligence


Post 1

Martin Harper

Here's a random thought...

It has been shown that if you have a fixed budget, and wish to do some computer-intensive calculation, then if the time for the calculation is *longer* than 4 years, you should not start the calculation, but should wait until the speed of computers has increased such that the calculation will only take 4 years.

If you take 'learning' to be the computational task, the optimal life span of an AI will be 4 years. Which would give the AIs a very short-sighted view of the world, and might be their weakness. Of course - this weakness lasts only as long as Moore's Law holds out - if Moore's Law levels off, then the optimal life span of an AI increases. But maybe it'll give us a second chance at playing dominant species...


Post 2

Athon Solo

What's Moore's Law say?

Athon Solo


Post 3

Martin Harper

Moore's Law is the idea that computer power doubles in speed every two years. It's held roughly true since the 60s...


Post 4

Researcher 164530

Four-year lifespan...

Anyone else flashing back to Blade Runner?


Post 5


we humans don't become obsolete because we don't upgrade our hardware every so often - because we have highly adaptive brains and are able to use and develop tools to help us do what we want.

A decent artificial intelligence ought to have a similarly adaptive mind and, if it needs to do something tricky, surely it would be able to use the latest tools available to assist it.

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