A Conversation for Ask h2g2

What's the latest information about Covid-19?

Post 81

Bald Bloke

And being young and apparently fit is no guarentee that you will get through OK
A 13 year old died over here.smiley - sadface
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-52114476


What's the latest information about Covid-19?

Post 82

paulh. Antisocial distancing works a well as the Social kind

he Mayor of Boston wants residents to wear face coverings and observe a curfew.


What's the latest information about Covid-19?

Post 83

paulh. Antisocial distancing works a well as the Social kind

Also, some researchers are zeroing in on the idea that you are ore likely to get a severe case when you get exposed to a lot of the virus at one time. The body may be able to fend off a very small amount.


What's the latest information about Covid-19?

Post 84

Still Incognitas, Still Chairthingy, Still lurking, Still invisible, unnoticeable, missable, unseen, just haunting h2g2

I'm not sure that anyone knows everything about this virus yet..it's early days and it's going to take time before the facts are really clear.Scientists are running to keep up..

smiley - tea


What's the latest information about Covid-19?

Post 85

paulh. Antisocial distancing works a well as the Social kind

All of us are hurrying as fast a we can. smiley - puff The rules change at least once a day, usually in strict disregard for what the rules were the day before. A leading government agency advised people not to bother with masks, as they weren't very effective. Then one day they urged everyone to wear one, as has the Mayor of Boston.

This can get wearying, and it ramps up the sense of panic.


What's the latest information about Covid-19?

Post 86

Baron Grim

And President Big Brain announced the new CDC recommendation for citizens to wear cloth masks by saying, "So, with the masks, it's going to be, really, a voluntary thing. You can do it. You don't have to do it. I'm choosing not to do it, but some people may want to do it, and that's OK. It may be good, probably will. It's only a recommendation, it’s voluntary."...

smiley - facepalm

BTW... if you do decide to wear a home made mask, note that most cotton materials won't filter microbes. One material that's readily available that does a good job of filtering is the blue disposable shop towels. When doubled up they do filter very small particles.


What's the latest information about Covid-19?

Post 87

paulh. Antisocial distancing works a well as the Social kind

Blue disposable shop towels?

Scott Shop Towels? Too many people thought of that, and Home depot is all out of them.
http://www.homedepot.com/p/Scott-Shop-Towels-3-Rolls-Pack-75143/202519693

Besides, I have a stuffed up nose from the local pollen, so I may have to not cover my nose if I want to breathe at all.

Anything that will work well has already been bid out of availability by other people. That's why second- or third-tier choices need to be on the table as well.

If the exerts suggest that you cut up strips of bedsheets, those will be bought out at the few stores that are still allowed to be open, or you can go nline and wait a month for backorders.


What's the latest information about Covid-19?

Post 88

paulh. Antisocial distancing works a well as the Social kind

Here's a different way to look at mortality figures:

http://www.bandolier.org.uk/booth/Risk/dyingage.html

If you're a man who is over 85, you have a 1 in 6 chance of dying in the next year. For a woman of that age, it's 1 in 7. So, somewhere between 15 and 18% of your cohort will die. That doesn't sound greatly different from 18%, which is the mortality from Covid-19

Youmnger ag groups:

75-84
1 in 15 if male, or 1 in 21 if female


65-74
1 in 42 or 1 in 65


The mortality categories for Covid-19 don't line up perfectly with
these figures. Only in the case of the 85+ group is in sync.

Just food for thought.


What's the latest information about Covid-19?

Post 89

Orcus

You know, the scientists are experts, nobody understands the limitations of what we know about this than them. What you are most likely reading, unless you go into the academic journals, is what some (most likely) scientifically illiterate journalist has written about what 'they' have said.

This is a virus only detected about three months ago, we are learning about this disease on the fly.

I'm all for positives. But a sobering reminder of why we should not underestimate this virus is now lying in intensive care in St Thomas's hospital in London. You may have heard of him, Boris Johnson.

If you are over 70 it is just a hard fact that your immune system is of lower quality than it was in your youth and almost everyone by that age has some 'underlying condition' whether they know or not. You don't have good odds if you get it and you are above 70. Yes 4 out of 5 will survive. Would you play Russian roulette with a 5 barrelled pistol with only one bullet in it?


What's the latest information about Covid-19?

Post 90

Orcus

Those mortality figures are not instead of Covid-19 - they will still happen - Covid-19 is on top.


What's the latest information about Covid-19?

Post 91

Teasswill

And without the lockdown, mortality would be higher because of a lack of ability to treat so many affected.
There will also be a knock on effect from the other serious conditions they are currently unable to treat (cancer ops cancelled for instance).

Mortality in 'normal' conditions is a very different matter.


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